38 “a great political blunder”: Marder, Scapa Flow, I, 430
   39 “To me it seems quite obvious”: Lichnowsky, 189
   40 “If Germany succeeds”: ibid., 330
   41 “the German fleet was the only obstacle”: ibid., 336
   42 “thoroughly pleasant and genial”: ibid.
   43 “It was the feeling of insufficient strength”: Spender, Fifty Years, 383
   44 “What a triumph for Tirpitz!”: Woodward, 418
   45 “This policy of secrecy”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 180
   46 “would be greeted with pleasure”: Lamar Cecil, Ballin, 199
   47 “the finest ship afloat”: Legge, 334
   48 “Be on your guard”: Hase, 20
   49 “We overhauled the Meteor”: Müller, 2
   50 “Pleasant journey”... “Friends in past”: Hase, 39
   Chapter 45
   The Coming of Armageddon: Berlin
   1 “The causes which might lead”: The Times, March 18, 1914
   2 “the vials of wrath”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 11
   3 “I shall not live”: Gooch, History of Modern Europe, 557
   4 “Austria finds herself”: ibid., 516
   5 “a dangerous little viper”: Mansergh, 132
   6 “at the last moment”: Albertini, I, 562
   7 “left in the lurch”: Spender, Fifty Years, 362
   8 “I constantly wonder”: ibid., 399
   9 “Our own vital interests”: Jarausch, 156
   10 “world historic process”: Spender, Fifty Years, 363
   11 “The Slavs were born to serve”: ibid.
   12 “If His Majesty Francis Joseph”: ibid., 364
   13 “His Majesty ostentatiously used”: ibid., 365
   14 The account of the Moltke-Conrad conversation is taken from Albertini, I, 561–62
   15 “One comes here for a visit”: Fay, II, 125
   16 “That’s the wrong way!”: ibid., 126
   17 “Sophie! Sophie! Don’t die!”: ibid.; dispatch sent to the Foreign Office by Sir Maurice de Bunsen, British Ambassador in Vienna: BD, XI, 15–16
   18 “kill an enemy of the South Slavs”: Fay, II, 132
   19 “an energetic man”: ibid.
   20 “No crime has ever aroused”: Schmitt, 397
   21 “Terrible shock”: Rose, 167
   22 “For me, it is a great worry less”: Crankshaw, The Fall of the House of Hapsburg, 391
   23 “The Monarchy with unflinching hand”: Mansergh, 219
   24 “does not feel certain of Germany”: Geiss, 59
   25 “The crime against my nephew”: Gooch, History of Modern Europe, 533, and Kautsky
   26 “serious European complication”: Geiss, 76
   27 “rely on Germany’s full support”: ibid.
   28 “opinion that this action”: ibid., 77
   29 “if we had really recognized”: ibid.
   30 “Russia’s attitude”: ibid.
   31 “Russia is in no way prepared”: ibid.
   32 “The views of the Kaiser”: Bethmann-Hollweg, 119
   33 “The sooner the Austrians”: Geiss, 71
   34 “scarcely let it come to war”: Kautsky, No. 49
   35 “was ready for all eventualities”: Geiss, 71
   36 “Certainly, Your Majesty”: Bülow, III, 175
   37 “he did not believe”: Geiss, 72
   38 “I ascertained”: ibid., 79
   39 “The Emperor Franz Joseph may rest assured”: ibid., 74
   40 “All present except”: ibid., 86
   41 “principally to impress”: ibid., 108
   42 “the proposed action against Serbia”: ibid., 95
   43 “Germany would consider”: ibid., 102
   44 “The Imperial administration”: ibid., 91
   45 “It would be a good thing”: ibid., 90
   46 “The Note is being composed”: Kautsky, 113
   47 “assured me he knew nothing”: Geiss, 154
   48 “spoke in the most peaceable manner”: ibid., 131
   49 “everything would depend”: ibid., 138
   50 “they are moderate and made reconcilable”: ibid., 170
   51 “We should consider it unwise”: ibid., 117
   52 “the murder of Sarajevo”: ibid., 143
   53 “propaganda against Austria-Hungary”: ibid., 145
   54 “Russia will never accept it”: Gooch, History of Modern Europe, 536
   55 “the most formidable document”: BD, XI, 73
   56 “You are setting fire”: Geiss, 174
   57 “mistaken idea”: ibid., 199
   58 “Here every delay”: ibid., 201
   59 “very earnestly”: ibid., 213
   60 “give a favorable reply”: BD, XI, 82
   61 “a lesson”: Geiss, 242
   62 “would only be unable to comply”: ibid., 167
   63 “since in vital matters”: Gooch, History of Modern Europe, 537
   64 “action had been forced”: Schmitt, 416
   65 “There was nothing to prove”: Gooch, History of Modern Europe, 535
   66 “We cannot afford to alarm”: Geiss, 121
   67 “While I was on my summer vacation”: William II, My Memoirs, 241
   68 “How did it all happen?”: Bülow, III, 184
   69 “No, you’ve cooked this broth”: ibid.
   70 “A brilliant performance”: Geiss, 222
   71 “avoid very carefully”: ibid., 260
   72 “was ready to go to the limit”: ibid., 241
   73 “there must be a way”: ibid., 242
   74 “Am glad you are back”: ibid., 260
   75 “A confession of his own weakness”: ibid., 261
   76 “unscrupulous agitation”... “will doubtless agree”: ibid.
   77 “transformed”: ibid., 279
   78 “the whole weight of the decision”: ibid., 304
   79 “Russia must ruthlessly”: Jarausch, 169
   80 “if war breaks out”: Geiss, 289
   81 “The British Government could stand aside”: ibid.
   82 “There is immense commotion”: Jarausch, 167
   83 “England will be against us”: Geiss, 291–92
   84 “We, of course, are ready to fulfill”: ibid., 293
   85 “If Vienna declines”: ibid., 305
   86 “the restriction of Austrian military operations”: ibid., 308
   87 “We had a very doubtful support”: ibid., 320
   88 “Great Britain would never allow”: BD, XI, 185
   89 “astounding”: ibid., 186
   90 “dishonorable”... “a disgrace”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 317
   91 “He regretted this”: BD, XI, 195
   92 “a purely private quarrel”... “to burn out with a glowing iron”: Geiss, 282
   93 “Russia has placed herself”: ibid.
   94 “violate the deep-rooted feelings”: ibid., 284
   95 “General mobilization”: ibid., 271
   96 “make us a distinct declaration”: Kautsky, 404
   97 “The curses of the nations”: Sazonov, 213; Paleologue, I, 48
   98 “If France offers me neutrality”: Kautsky, No. 575, 451
   99 “Now we can go to war”: Tuchman, Guns of August, 78
   100 “Your Majesty, it cannot be done”: ibid., 79
   101 “Your uncle would have given me”: ibid., 80
   102 “wounded me deeply”: ibid.
   103 “burst into tears”: ibid., 81
   104 “A positive proposal by England”: ibid.
   105 “Now you can do what you like”: ibid.
   106 “This was my first experience”: ibid.
   107 “France would act”: Kautsky, 448
   108 “When the French Cabinet”: Bethmann-Hollweg, 145
   109 “the letter nor the spirit”: Geiss, 344
   110 “does not seek any territorial acquisition”: ibid., 248
   111 “There was no fear”: ibid., 341
   112 “in the most friendly manner”: ibid., 342
					     					 			 />
   Chapter 46
   The Coming of Armageddon: London
   1 “had been reading”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 193
   2 “the gravest event for many years”: Spender, Asquith, II, 80
   3 “We are within measurable”: Asquith, Memories, II, 8
   4 “substantial economy”: Woodward, Appendix V, 478
   5 “I cannot help thinking”: ibid., 479
   6 “the merits of the dispute”: Asquith, Genesis, 187
   7 “simply and solely”: ibid.
   8 “saw no reason”: Geiss, 105
   9 “The German Government believes”: ibid., 110
   10 “England will not prevent”: ibid., 130
   11 “brusque, sudden, and peremptory”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 307
   12 “the most formidable document”: BD, XI, 73
   13 “give a favorable reply”: ibid., 82
   14 “If our respective governments”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 304
   15 “I see in it”: Geiss, 206
   16 “Ask the Minister for Foreign Affairs”: BD, XI, 101
   17 “Sir E. Grey”: Geiss, 238–41
   18 “in the most decided way”: ibid., 236
   19 “would practically amount”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 309
   20 “Serbia has capitulated”: Asquith, Memories, II, 8
   21 “The German General Staff”: Haldane, Autobiography, 274
   22 “It must be obvious”: Asquith, Genesis, 188
   23 “nothing but a miracle”: Jenkins, 325
   24 “at this stage”: Spender, Asquith, 81
   25 “will be one of policy”: ibid.
   26 Lichnowsky’s July 29 telegram 86 with the Kaiser’s marginalia is taken from Geiss, 288–90
   27 “He then proceeded to make”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 315
   28 “When the war was over”: ibid.
   29 “The document made it clear”: ibid., 316
   30 “His Majesty’s Government cannot”: ibid., 317
   31 “as he knew France”: Geiss, 314
   32 “full and active readiness”: ibid., 225
   33 “joint steps”: ibid., 313
   34 “He is convinced”: ibid., 317
   35 “how difficult it would be”: ibid.
   36 “British participation”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 215
   37 “It was clear to me”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 324
   38 “felt that to stand aside”: ibid., 326
   39 “The argument”: BD, XI, 225
   40 “Germany was so immensely strong”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 302
   41 “There was never any chance”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 205
   42 “the very existence of his country”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 328
   43 “go one inch beyond”: ibid., 329
   44 “The Cabinet thought”: Geiss, 327
   45 “would await the invasion”: ibid., 328
   46 “would find herself in a state”: ibid.
   47 “the question of Belgian neutrality”: ibid., 327
   48 “About the same time”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 327
   49 “he rather doubted”: BD, XI, 234
   50 “the issues of peace and war”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, I, 312
   51 “there were forces”: ibid.
   52 “the whole of Germany”: Tuchman, Guns of August, 19
   53 “We must put aside”: ibid., 26
   54 “The more English the better”: ibid., 121
   55 “Military opinion”: Bethmann-Hollweg, 147
   56 “reliable information”: Geiss, 231
   57 “with the deepest regret”: ibid.
   58 “some suggestions”: ibid.
   59 “The Belgian Government must be informed”: ibid., 354
   60 “Germany’s procedure in Belgium”: ibid., 357
   61 “uncoded”: Kautsky, 567
   62 “Winston very bellicose”: Asquith, Memories, II, 11
   63 “it was at our request”: BD, XI, 252
   64 “simple traverse”: Spender, Asquith, II, 90
   65 “this was a war intrigued”: Lloyd George, I, 68
   66 “I saw Money”: ibid.
   67 “aghast at the bare idea”: Spender, Asquith, II, 102
   68 “are the greatest ninnies”: Margot Asquith, IV, 20
   69 “We have made no pledges”: LVS, 114
   70 “My dear Nicky”: ibid., 140
   71 “would gladly”: BD, XI, 276
   72 “I walked across the Horse Guards Parade”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 217
   73 “we could not stand”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, II, 1
   74 “He was very emotional”: Asquith, Memories, II, 11
   75 “that the country would... be unable”: Haldane, Autobiography, 274
   76 “Grey asked me”: ibid., 275
   77 “Their breath was somewhat”: ibid.
   78 “time must be made”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, II, 13
   79 “for no man had worked harder”... “go through one small corner”: ibid.
   80 The description of the scene in the House of Commons and the quotes from Sir Edward Grey’s speech are taken from August 4, 1914, editions of The Times, The Daily Telegraph, The Daily Chronicle, and The Daily News.
   81 “For the most part conversational”: Asquith, Memories, II, 25
   82 “Grey’s speech was very wonderful”: Trevelyan, 265
   83 “sacrifice the honor”... “firmly resolved”: Fay, II, 541
   84 “What happens now?”: Winston Churchill, World Crisis, I, 220
   85 “No, of course everybody knows”: Asquith, Genesis, 213
   86 “Thus, the efforts of a lifetime”: ibid.
   87 “The lamps are going out”: Grey, Twenty-Five Years, II, 20
   88 “bombs on the railway”: Schmitt, 461
   89 “a French physician”: Kautsky, 508
   90 “Interesting”... “We got the news”: LVS, 150
   91 “very calmly”... “We got through all the business”: ibid.
   92 “This whole thing”: ibid.
   93 “So it is all up”: Margot Asquith, IV, 69
   Acknowledgments
   In writing this book, I worked in and drew material from the Yale University libraries, the Tulane University Library, the Public Record Office, the British Ministry of Defence Library, and the British Library Newspaper Library. I am grateful to the staffs of these libraries for their efficiency and courtesy.
   For their help during the early stages of the book, I am indebted to Robert Gottlieb and Katherine Hourigan. At Random House, I have been fortunate in having available the wise experience and stimulating encouragement of a great editor, Robert Loomis, Harry Evans, Joni Evans, and Carsten Fries also have made my path easier.
   From the moment I first described this book to David Godwin of Jonathan Cape, he has reacted with heartwarming enthusiasm. I appreciate also the assistance of his colleagues, Georgina Capel and Jill Black.
   In today’s world, as giant corporations swallow publishing houses and accountants replace editors in making publishing decisions, authors need skillful, dedicated literary agents. I have Deborah Karl, Andrew Wylie, Gillon Aitken, and Sally Riley, all of whom care deeply about writers and writing. I also have been aided by the timely efforts of Bridget Love and Anna Benn.
   Janet Byrne and Judith Karl made up for my inability to master word processing by typing the manuscript. Carmel Wilson provided new photographs at short notice. The Hulton Picture Company in London offered me thousands of tempting picture choices and efficiently provided the ones I selected.
   Through the years this book has been in progress, many friends have helped by word of deed. I thank especially Lorna Massie, the late Natalie May, Mary Keeley, Caecelia Davis, Robert and Ina Caro, Thomas Pynchon and Melanie Jackson, Caroline Michel and Matthew Evaqns, Ken Burrows, Gilbert Merritt, Herbert and May Shayne, David Kahn, and Robert Fagles.
   My children, Elizabeth Massie, Bob Massie, and Susanna Thomas, have 
					     					 			 given me support and love; no less has come from Dana Robert and Jim Thomas.
   Deborah Karl, daughter of a literary family, has read every line of this book and suggested changes which invariably turned out to be improvements. For her intelligence, her perception, and her devotion, I will always be grateful.
   Bibliography
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   Askwith, Lord, Lord James of Hereford. London: Ernest Benn, 1930
   Asquith, Herbert Henry, Earl of Oxford and Asquith. The Genesis of the War. London: Cassell, 1923
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   ——. Memories and Reflections, 1852–1927. 2 vols. Boston: Little, Brown, 1928
   ——. Letters to Venetia Stanley. Selected and edited by Michael and Eleanor Brock. Oxford University Press, 1982
   Asquith, Margot. An Autobiography. 4 vols. New York: George H. Doran, 1920–22
   Bacon, Admiral Sir Reginald. A Naval Scrapbook, 1877–1900. London: Hutchinson, 1925
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   Balfour, Michael. The Kaiser and His Times. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1964
   Barkeley, Richard. The Empress Frederick. London: Macmillan, 1956
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   Barlow, Ima C. The Agadir Crisis. Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1940
   Bassett, Ronald. Battle Cruisers: A History, 1908–1948. London: Macmillan, 1981
   Battiscombe, Georgina. Queen Alexandra. London: Constable, 1969
   Bell, Quentin, Virginia Woolf: A Biography, 2 vols. London: Hogarth Press, 1971
   Beresford, Lord Charles. Memoirs. 2 vols. Boston: Little, Brown, 1914
   ——. The Betrayal. London: P. S. King & Son, 1912
   Berghahn. Volker L. Der Tirpitz Plan. Düsseldorf: Droste Verlag, 1971
   ——. Germany and the Approach of War in 1914. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1973
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